Refugee Crisis

Population Immigration and Refugees Walls block people, but the far more destructive edge of this sword is that walls separate people. To spend billions of dollars to try and keep out a few more people from our country, but at the cost of separating us from an entire country, is a terrible trade-off and a fool's calculus. sp Climate change is a driver of refugees and immigrants. Has America has reached a point where perpetual growth from immigration cannot realistically continue within the country’s limited space and resources?  in general: refugee boat: Law of the Journey Weiwei > Art | We will all be melting pots of each other sp | deferred action: DREAM Act | largest refugee camp: Dadaab | america: In Jackson Heights | lessons of history: Kindertransport | migration: International Organization for Migration | Rule of Law vs. Lawlessness sp | fences: Hungary | trains: The Beast |  deporting kids: East of Salinas | good samaritan: Buen Dia, Ramon | Borderland NPR | Of Mice and Men Steinbeck | Sin Nombre | The Arrival Tan | Welcome to Shelbyville Snyder |

“There’s no refugee crisis, but only human crisis… In dealing with refugees we’ve lost our very basic values.” ai weiwei

 

Fourth Industrial Revolution

Human Society Production and Utilization of Wealth  Are we on the cusp of a Fourth Industrial Revolution?  Will it be a force for good or evil?  Will it provide new opportunities for all, or will it exacerbate inequalities? Davos ‘16 > Randomness/unintended Economic Theory and Systems Economic Theory: index of economic freedom Economic Systems Historical development of economic systems Capitalism Centrally-planned systems Appraising economic systems The Consumer and the Market Scarcity, utility, and value: behavioral economics: | Valuation Consumer behavior: Buying Decisions | inelasticity Markets: markets hate uncertainty Price system in capitalist economies Organization of Production and Distribution Organization of the production of goods Marketing and Merchandising Inputs of the productive process Institutions that facilitate business formation, production, output Money Currency & Exchange Stock exchanges: AI Banks International: Bank for International Settlements BIS economic statistics business organization stock markets: Volatility Index (VIX) fear index Agricultural economics International trade Government’s role in production & distribution: privatization Methods of business organization Advertising & Promotion Distribution of risk Consumer credit: Don’t use a credit card for a loan sp Distribution of Income and Wealth the rich get richer and the poor get poorer Matthew Effect Distribution by categories of the population: Forbes 400 | gini coefficient How government affects the distribution Capitalism Taxation Laffer Curve postulates that no tax revenue will be raised at the extreme tax rates of 0% and 100% and that there must be at least one rate where tax revenue would be a non-zero maximum. Poverty Macroeconomics National income and employment theory misery index unemployment: U3 and U6 Intl. equilibrium and disequilibrium Business cycles Inflation and deflation key indicators: monetary velocity Economic Growth and Planning Nature and causes of economic growth Planning for economic growth and stability Government Finance Growth  books, forums, journals: innovation: The Fourth Industrial Revolution Schwab | behavioral: Misbehaving Thaler | Capital in the Twenty-First Century Piketty big ideas | Stealth of Nations by Neuwirth | The Mystery of Capital De Soto | The Wealth of Nations Smith | Wall Street Journal | World Economic Forum Davos

Davos 2016: Fourth Industrial Revolution

 

Europe


Global Trends 2030

Time Future  Has technology given us the opportunity to flourish, or to self-destruct? Why can’t we remember the future? What is emerging? What impact will it have?  in general: The best way to predict the future is to invent it. Kay | aircraft/car | digital archive of you: lifenaut | education: Houston Foresight, thefutureschannel | energy: The Future of Energy | food: The Future of Food NG | gamification: gaming the future | history: Italian Futurism Manifesto 1909 | paperless society portals: BBC Future, Matter longform journalism, paperless society, PBSK Labs editorial |  time capsules: one second per day think tanks: extremism: Challenging Extremism, quilliamfoundation | www.aspeninstitute.org, bakas, fastfuture, Institute for Global Futures, iftf, thefuturelaboratory | atlantic council | big issues: www.millennium-project.org, www.fhi.ox.ac.uk, thersa.org | directory: www.lib.umich.edu/govdocs/psthink.html#comp | energy security: Institute for the Analysis of Global Security iags.org | European security: European Leadership Network ELN | international affairs: chathamhouse | long-term thinking: Club of Rome, futuristspeaker, hybridreality.me, longbets, Long Now Foundation | survival of the species: Future of Humanity Institute, Future of Life Institute  books: forecasting: Global Trends 2030, Superforecasting Tetlock big ideas > Predictive | Future Science Brockman | Future Shock | Hybrid Reality Ayesha | The Competition of Ideas Weidenbaum | The Extreme Future Canton | The Revolution Will Be Digitised Brooke | The Tyranny of Dead Ideas Miller

SOURCE: International Futures Model